UPSC CSE Prelims 2017
Which among the following is the most logical, rational and critical inference that can be made from the above passage?
The passage explicitly states that the 'middle-income trap' implies average incomes will stop growing rapidly, remaining short of developed Western incomes. It further identifies a "collapse in the growth of productivity" as the broad, overall cause of this trap. Therefore, the inference that once a country reaches the middle-income stage, it runs the risk of falling productivity leading to stagnant incomes, directly aligns with the information presented.
Option (B): The passage indicates that "fast growing economies of Asia face the risk" of falling into the trap. It describes a potential challenge for specific economies, not a "general characteristic" applicable to all fast-growing economies universally. The term "risk" implies a possibility, not an inevitability or a defining trait.
Option (C): The passage highlights a risk and its underlying causes, implying that these issues can be addressed. It does not convey a sense of absolute hopelessness for emerging Asian economies to sustain growth momentum. The IMF's identification of causes suggests areas for policy intervention, not an insurmountable barrier.
Option (D): While the passage identifies a "collapse in the growth of productivity" as the primary cause of the middle-income trap, it frames this as a future risk or a factor contributing to the trap, rather than a definitive statement about the current overall unsatisfactory performance of Asian economies regarding productivity growth. The focus is on the mechanism of the trap, not a general assessment of current performance.